There is a ton of BullShit
circling the bowl on the subject of this helicopter brigade, coming to Fort
Carson. To start with, this is a done deal, so the pretense by the military
and local government that this is a decision yet to be made is all bullshit
too.
First, this study which everyone is using to justify this addiction
to the federal tit is biased and flawed. I've read it in it's entirety
and you should too:
http://tinyurl.com/3y87y22
When the BBC estimates the economic impact of Fort Carson here they
conclude (because the Fort told them so) that "disposable income from
Soldiers reflects assumptions that 90% of disposable income of deployed Soldiers
with family in the region is available for spending in the region."
That's absurd.
No one has 90% of the their income available for spending in thelocal economy
and we're talking about the military that this report admits COSTS the city
an 11% REDUCTION in sales taxes because of the purchases made on the
post in the PX, the Commissary and other on post facilities. These are horribly
underpaid military families and they pinch every penny until Lincoln has no
beard.
In the on-base housing, of course, they pay no property taxes, and add
to that vehicles registered where ever they were stationed before here, and
in their home towns. The PPACG study by BBC says that the loss of revenue
is between 0$ and $22 million.
Is that a competent spread of an estimate by any mathematics of statistics?
NO.
There is no way there is a $0 loss, so that's BS from the post and the
real figure is documented in this study to be far beyond $22 million.
Second the study list the services needed by 98% of the soldiers include "Domestic/Family
Violence, Child
Abuse, and Sexual Assault Services, Food and Other Emergency Aid, Outpatient
Counseling, Behavioral Health, Financial Counseling, Legal Aid, Medical
Health, Eldercare and Handicapped Accessibility Services".
The study makes the obvious statement that "Grant funding can be of
critical importance in allowing community-based providers to meet growing
service needs."
Well, we can't do too much for the soldier's families, but this local, state
and federal grant money ALSO goes in the COST column, NOT the revenue column.
Third, The main "benefit" to the area is with developers, which is just what
our city council wants, since the developers control their campaign slush
funds.
Homebuilders, especially those who have traditionally served the Fort
Carson community, have experienced much lower demand than they expected
to in 2009, according to several studies, including this one. Surveys
of Soldiers conducted for this study demonstrated a shift in buying preferences.
Although they had plans to buy before moving into the region, once they relocated,
Soldiers were much more likely to rent. This is attributed to changing
deployment schedules, increasing uncertainly about their future and
the downturn in the housing market.
Apartment vacancy in Security, Widefield and Fountain in Q1 of 2009
was 28%, compared with 12% in the springs, so the "benefit" to the housing
market is overstated as well.
Fifth:
The BBC estimates that in 2009, Fort Carson supported about 31,500 jobs
in the region, representing ONLY about 7% of total regional employment
compared to retail at 12%, Health Care and Social Assistance at 12%,
accommodation and food services at 10%, and Educational Services at
10%.
Sixth:
The study estimates: "In total, about $704 million in Soldier disposable
income was available for spending in the region in FY09 Q4", BUT they
arrived at these numbers by excluding income taxes AND they estimated
that disposable income was 94% of gross wages, which is absurd. Who
has overhead and living expenses of only 6% of their gross income?
NO one.
Seventh:
The study concludes Fort Carson directly and indirectly produced between
$23 million and $45 million in state income tax revenues in FY09.
So .003 -.006 percent of the state budget of $7 Billion? Now we're talking
a more realistic perspective on the economic impact, BUT again the statistical
margin of 100% ($23 million and $45 million) is a useless GUESS, padded
to include the truth somewhere in the spread, which I don't think it
does.
Income tax revenue from the military in this state is a figure that
needs no guessing.
Eighth:
"The BBC team estimates that about $50 million in retail trade activity
occurred at the Post PX, commissary and other on-Post retail operations
not subject to sales taxes" which "reflects an 11% reduction in sales
tax revenues" leaving ONLY "almost 6% of all sales and use tax revenue
in the City of Colorado Springs". Remember that "the preceding sales
tax calculations do not reflect the fact that City and/or other local
sales taxes are not collected for some motor vehicle transactions involving
Soldiers who may declare residency at a location". They then admit that:
"Therefore, the positive sales tax impacts may be overstated." Then
they remove their entire "benefit" by admitting that " the absolute
magnitude of this potential error is estimated to be significantly less
than 5 percent of total sales and use tax receipts".
Out of "almost 6%"??
Ninth:
18.7% of TESSA's domestic violence advocacy services, and 15.4 percent
of their sexual assault services, are associated with military populations.
With the additional soldiers the "total new demand for TESSA advocacy
services" is "182 cases or 12% increase".
This makes the point of my conclusion, which is that the dependence
on military base moneys, however overstated and inflated is NOT good
for any town. The reason is that the town then depends on WAR for some
portion of it's income.
The cost of WAR is too high.
Too high to the victims on both sides of the gun.
Too high for the families at home, which are destroyed by the process.
Too high for any community fooling itself into thinking that the war
machine in town is a positive economic "benefit" which makes it worthwhile
to wage WAR as a means to a balanced budget.
We need to say NO to this helicopter brigade, to the war machine which
grinds up families for some dubious financial "benefit" and NO to the pork
of massive federal military spending to support invasions, occupations
and military bases in 737 towns around the world.